THE FED AND ECB STICK TO THE SCRIPT BUT MARKETS ARE ON NOTICE OF MORE HIKES TO COME
This week’s central bank interest rate decisions came in as expected. The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged – the first time it has opted not to hike since March 2022 – while the European Central Bank increased rates by 0.25%.
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DEVELOPED ECONOMIES HAVE ALL STRUGGLED WITH INFLATION BUT THE OUTCOME MAY NOT BE THE SAME
This week we saw clear signs of divergence across the global economy as various regions battle inflation.
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POSITIVITY IN THE US FOLLOWING DEBT CEILING DEAL CAN’T HIDE THE GENERALLY GLOOMY OUTLOOK
This week the biggest headlines have been about the deal to prevent the US government defaulting on its debts. When it came to the crunch, Congress and President Biden’s administration managed to achieve the basic function of government by keeping the lights on.
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RISING CORE INFLATION MEANS BANK OF ENGLAND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP RAISING INTEREST RATES
This week more doubt has been cast on the widely held view that central banks are about to bring an end to interest rate hikes. The decline in the UK’s headline rate of inflation was not as big as expected as food, housing and services continue to rise, leaving the Bank of England’s recent upward revision to its inflation forecast in doubt.
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ARE EQUITY MARKETS TOO OPTIMISTIC OR IS THE VIEW OF BOND INVESTORS TOO BLEAK?
This week has seen more optimism in equity markets, while bond investors continue to take a more gloomy view. In the US, negotiations over the debt ceiling appear to be making some progress and this helped the positive sentiment towards US equities.
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BANK OF ENGLAND RAISES RATES AND SIGNALS MORE TO COME AS INFLATION PROVES STICKY
This week Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill generated controversy when he said that to break the inflationary spiral people in the UK need to just accept they are poorer and stop pushing wages up.
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CENTRAL BANKS RAISE RATES AGAIN AS THE US FED SIGNALS IT IS REACHING THE END OF THE ROAD
This week Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill generated controversy when he said that to break the inflationary spiral people in the UK need to just accept they are poorer and stop pushing wages up.
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CALL FOR WAGE RESTRAINT IS BADLY RECEIVED AS BIG BRANDS HIKE PRICES TO PROTECT THEIR PROFITS
This week Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill generated controversy when he said that to break the inflationary spiral people in the UK need to just accept they are poorer and stop pushing wages up.
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PERSISTENTLY HIGH INFLATION INCREASES THE CHANCES OF FURTHER INTEREST RATE HIKES
This week has seen inflation take centre stage once more. US headline inflation fell as expected, but core inflation ticked up slightly.
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US INFLATION DATA PRESENTS A MIXED PICTURE BUT MARKETS STILL EXPECT RATE HIKES TO END SOON
This week has seen inflation take centre stage once more. US headline inflation fell as expected, but core inflation ticked up slightly.
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